Above the 40 (September 11, 2017) – The S&P 500 Hits Fresh All-Time High On Tension Relief

AT40 = 53.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 (down 11.5%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (see below for caveats) Commentary I had no idea that the previous tensions in the stock market fully priced in the … Read more

Above the 40 (September 8, 2017) – Lingering Tensions for the Stock Market

AT40 = 44.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 (up 4.9%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The market has made no progress since my last Above the 40 post which covered the volatility and fizzle from … Read more

Above the 40 (September 5, 2017) – A Different Kind of Volatility and Fizzle for the Stock Market

AT40 = 44.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.2 (was as high as 14.1) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Another North Korean nuclear power move caused more rattling in financial markets. The last time the market … Read more

Housing Market Review – A Notable Change In Tone (August, 2017)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in July, 2017 for June, 2017. The month from there marked a significant change in tone for home builders. The change in tone starts with the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) and its failure to hold support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first … Read more

Above the 40 (August 29, 2017) – More Stock Market Volatility and Fizzle

AT40 = 37.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.7 (was as high as 14.3) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary North Korea launched a ballistic missile over northern Japan, bot no fire and fury ensued. What happened … Read more

Chipotle Mexican Grill: A Quick Lesson In Trending

Last week, I thought a quick burst of morning buying in Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) was a potentially bullish sign for the hapless CMG. I anticipated buyers might finally be ready to stave off the relentless selling pressure. I even bought a call option and shares as a part of my speculation. So far, the … Read more

Above the 40 (August 15, 2017) – The Retail Wreck Runs Over Strong Data

AT40 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Urban Outfitters (URBN) notwithstanding with its 19.5% after hours surge, Tuesday, August 15, 2017 was a signature day for the weakness engulfing … Read more

Above the 40 (August 9, 2017) – A Stock Market Pushing Against A Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 45.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.1 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (first day of downgrade) Commentary The stock market had a weak open but a strong close. On the heels of ratcheting … Read more

Allergan Signals Higher Prices Potentially Ahead for Teva Pharmaceuticals

Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) lost 24% last Thursday after reporting disappointing earnings. From the Seeking Alpha transcript of the conference call: “All of us at Teva understand the frustration and disappointment our shareholders are feeling… In our U.S. Generics business, we experienced accelerated price erosion and decreased volume, mainly due to customer consolidation, greater competition as … Read more

Above the 40 (July 27, 2017) – The S&P 500 Slips, Not Falls, Off the Edge

AT40 = 58.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary When AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), fades from overbought status, … Read more