Stock Market Makes A Case for A Parabolic Run-Up – Above the 40 (September 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 67.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 49.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 26.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Perhaps I will be sitting on the sidelines of the last 10%+ higher in the stock market. The … Read more

A Two-Speed Stock Market Downshifts Into A Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (July 10, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit a 2 1/2 – month low the previous day at 34.9%)AT200 = 26.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A strange and two-speed market got even … Read more

A Grinding Bear Market Hits More Oversold History – Above the 40 (March 18, 2020)

AT40 = 2.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (16th oversold day)AT200 = 4.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 76.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The week started with another stomach churning loss with the S&P 500 (SPY) losing 12.0%. It was a day where … Read more

Resilient Stock Market Blows Past the Whisper of A Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (January 10, 2020)

AT40 = 58.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 59.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.6Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The bearish signals are growing, but they are still not impeding this resilient stock market. The ever so shallow selling acts like a … Read more

The Power of 100: Nike, Carmax, and Starbucks

I believe there is an old Wall Street adage that describes the inevitability of a stock hitting $100 once it gets “close enough” to that price level. One hundred is a nice round number, and it looks like a major (psychological) milestone. So when both Nike (NKE) and Carmax (KMX) suffered post-earnings pullbacks from around … Read more