Getting Fooled By the Put/Call Ratio – The J.C. Penney’s Post-Earnings Disaster

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The past three earnings cycles have delivered some tremendous post-earnings successes in stocks like Amazon.com (AMZN), priceline.com (PCLN), Best Buy (BBY), and Apple (AAPL). J.C. Penney (JCP) broke my streak in … Read more

Chart Review: J.C. Penney Bouncing Off 200DMA Support Ahead Of Earnings

A little over a week ago, I pointed out that shorts are increasing along with a drop in the put/call ratio on J.C. Penney Company (JCP). At the time, I said that I was done buying puts on JCP. Since then, I decided to buy calls. The stock is now bouncing off 200DMA support. It … Read more

As Earnings Near, J.C. Penney Put/Call Ratio Plummets And Shorts Increase

I last wrote about J.C. Penney (JCP) in March right after an ominous breakdown below its 50-day moving average (DMA) (see “Put Buyers Rush Into J.C. Penney As The Stock Breaks Down“). I soon joined the surge of put volume that occurred around that time, and the trade ended well. JCP eventually erased all its … Read more

Betting On Best Buy’s Post-Earnings Potential

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) According to ETF Channel, Best Buy (BBY) is the second largest holding of the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT). Yet, BBY is greatly underperforming this retail ETF. While XRT is at … Read more

How to Play First Solar Until A Savior Arrives

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When Energy Conversion Devices (ENERQ.PK) filed for bankruptcy in mid-February, I wrote “The Solar Fun Is Done For Now.” I should have also said that the “horror show has just begun” … Read more

Magic Number $600 Still Holds for Google

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Google (GOOG) has proven itself allergic to sub-$600 prices. On Tuesday, GOOG dropped as low as $594. But for the third time in three weeks, GOOG managed to close above $600 … Read more

Groupon Headed for Post-IPO Lows

In mid-February, I posted Groupon (GRPN) as a bearish post-earnings play (see “Groupon Loses Gains From Facebook IPO Hype And Put Options Soar“). At the time, I claimed that the stock would linger around its $20 IPO price for a while after the immediate post-earnings selling. Sure enough, GRPN hung around $20 for another two … Read more

What’s Next and Lessons Learned After the Success of Amazon.com’s Post-Earnings Trade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Congratulations to everyone who took on the post-earnings trade on Amazon.com (AMZN). Hopefully, you have locked in your profits by now given the 2-week timeframe for the trade. It is now … Read more

Chart Review: Everyone Has A Whole Apple Again – Bearish Reversal Invalidated

February 15 was a day noted around the world: Apple (AAPL) made a major bearish reversal that even non-technicians could appreciate for its fury. Here is the chart I produced on that fateful day: The tremendous surge in trading volume was a 13-month high and followed the S&P 500 down for the day – adding … Read more

Chart Review: SunPower Breaks Out and First Solar Retakes Uptrend, But…

A funny thing happened after I declared the “fun is done” in solar stocks: Suntech Power Holdings (STP) pre-announced higher than expected revenues and financial results for its fourth quarter, and SunPower Corporation (SPWR) reported earnings that gave solar traders and investors fresh hope. At one point, SPWR broke out from a nice consolidation above … Read more