The 2014 Homebuilder Breakout Begins Early With A Very Bullish D.R. Horton

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 29, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) In several posts, I have noted that the consolidation in 2013 for homebuilder stocks could become a springboard for a fresh rally in 2014. It seems the homebuilder breakout may have … Read more

T2108 Update (March 7, 2014) – Overbought with Caution

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (February 27, 2014) – Close Call #3 – Tantalizingly Close to Overbought

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (February 14, 2014) – No Love for the Bears Even As Overbought Conditions Loom

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Housing Recovery Will Proceed Even With the Changing Preferences for Living At Home

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Aug 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The headlines seem pretty ominous: a record number of young adults aged 18-31 are living at home with their parents. The percentage of young adults under such living arrangements has shot … Read more

Prudential Real Estate Outlook Survey Reveals Optimism Amongst Young People

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Aug 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the past few weeks, we have read articles and studies describing the delayed household formation of younger Americans. I covered them in “The Housing Recovery Will Proceed Even With The … Read more

The Aging In Place Movement Challenges the Notion Of An Imminent “Senior Sell-Off” Of Housing

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Aug 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “That’s perhaps one of the geniuses in the way the village movement has been set up, because it takes into account the fact that we are all aging in different ways … Read more

The Pent-Up Housing Demand Of Young People As A Support for Seling Seniors?

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Depressed asset markets often include inherent supply/demand ironies. When prices drop to depressed levels, buyers should show up in droves to take advantage of the bargains. Of course, a market gets … Read more

Baby Boomers Are Not Likely to Cause the Next Housing Crisis (Part 2 of 2)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “‘It’s romantic for the first 15 years when you’re turning 65 and retired…But aging in place among 90-year-olds? 95-year-olds?’ Many of these people…won’t realize that they can’t mow the lawn or … Read more

Baby Boomers Are Not Likely To Cause the Next Housing Crisis (Part 1)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Back in March, 2013, an intriguing article appeared in The Atlantic Cities called “The Great Senior Sell-Off Could Cause the Next Housing Crisis.” Author Emily Badger interviewed demographer Arthur C. Nelson, … Read more