ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary: The latest jobs report came on the heels of another post-Fed downer. The U.S. added 261,000 jobs but the unemployment rate ticked up from 3.6% to 3.7%. At the open, the market seemed to celebrate the potential implications for looser monetary policy despite the microscopic change in the unemployment rate. China delivered … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: The recession that Wall Street wants remains elusive according to the August jobs report. The data show the labor participation rate increased with job growth and a minimal increase in the unemployment rate: a recipe for the (mythical?) economic soft landing. The reaction in the stock market reflected the duality in interpreting … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Now I see why there was so little fanfare about the end of the bear market. Last week’s trading looks like a warm-up for a bear market comeback. The S&P 500 and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) printed bearish confirmations of resistance at their respective 200-day moving averages (DMAs) (the blue … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: With the prospects of a bottom for this bear market, I am getting a little more interested in individual stock narratives. The bear market rubble is extensive. The gems are dispersed across a wide area. These stock charts provide one framework for sifting through the trash and the opportunity. {note: in this … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Some stocks benefit greatly from an oversold bounce. Some stocks continue to dampen the mood. Today, retailers bruised an otherwise impressive continuation of the oversold bounce in the stock market. With retailers weighing down the market with poor implications for the macro environment, caution remains warranted. Still, the rebounds in the most … Read more
When Cathie Wood anticipated a “doozie of a correction” in early 2021, she surely did not expect a complete collapse in the mania and bubble she had enjoyed during the first year of the pandemic. However, the cash machine betting on the downtrend in the ARK Funds may finally stop operations soon. Last week, one … Read more
With a bear market underway and oversold trading conditions, I am actively looking for longer-term buys in the stock market. Tax, accounting, and personal finance services software company Intuit Inc (INTU) jumped into my radar thanks to CNBC’s Options Action. Michael Khouw laid out the case for buying a long-term INTU call option, but he … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: After much resistance to Fed hawkishness, the U.S. stock market gave way to fresh bearishness. The major indices dropped into new depths of the bear den. The stocks below are snapshots of the latest deterioration in the price action and decline in the technical health underlying the stock market. The ARK funds … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Last week delivered a series of confirmed breakouts that served to uphold bullish belief in the stock market. Even as the overall rally looks to continue, the market’s most troubled corners showed weakness at the end of the week. These holdouts failed to break through important resistance levels. Some of these growth … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: I stuck to my cautiously bullish short-term trading call in my last “Market Breadth” post. Signature stocks Apple and NVIDIA lead a relentless comeback that symbolizes a market that finally had nowhere to go but up. Buyers ignored a hawkish Federal Reserve and the escalation of violence from Russia’s invasion of the … Read more