ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Apple (AAPL) initially failed a critical technical test at the 200-day moving average (DMA) and even made a new low for 2011, but the stock’s under-performance has finally ended. AAPL has gained over 10% since its 2011 low June 20th. The majority of the gains have come on just 4 days with strong bursts of … Read more
2011 has been a rough year for Google (GOOG) as the stock continues to underperform relative to the S&P 500. GOOG is down 14% year-to-date while the S&P 500 is up 6.5%. I was premature in mid-May speculating that GOOG had finally reached some kind of bottom in the wake of its bond-offering. However, a … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) An apparent downward shift in short interest was part of my premise in speculating that Research in Motion (RIMM) could experience significant upside after its last earnings call. It turns out that shorts increased almost … Read more
On June 20, famed money manager Doug Kass tweeted a stock market warning: “once again the strength in consumer non durables (pg pep cl clx k gis etc) are a market warning sign.” So what happens when these stocks start to break down along with so many others? Is their weakness suddenly a harbinger of … Read more
Research In Motion (RIMM) has been locked in a steep downtrend since February and printed its post-recession highs in September, 2009, so it is hazardous to make any upside predictions for the stock (for example, “Judgment Day for Research In Motion Could Yield Upside Surprise“). However, I could not resist making the observation that RIMM … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece. I have updated price and trading information to reflect time of publishing) While announcing disappointing earnings guidance again, RIMM indicated it will launch another repurchase program as early as July 10, 2011, the first day … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Trailing P/E and forward P/E both below 6 Price/Sales below 1 $2.12 billion in cash on the balance sheet Zero debt Double digit profit margins Sounds like a steal, especially for a technology company (valuation … Read more
“IPOs Boost Demand for Silicon Valley Mansions” – Bloomberg “US Housing Crisis Is Now Worse Than Great Depression” – CNBC These two headlines from Tuesday’s financial press describe well the dichotomy in America’s two-speed economy. Corporate profits have never been better but employment has rarely been worse. The housing market in Silicon Valley is benefiting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, briefing.com reported that rumors hit the trading floors that Cisco (CSCO) might make a buyout offer for Research In Motion (RIMM). The rumor was good for a brief 2-hour or so pop before the … Read more