ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Price Action The excitement did not last. On October 25th and 26th, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) soared out of nowhere, and it interrupted my expectation for an imminent opportunity to accumulate for Bitcoin in the $6500-7000 range. That opportunity is finally here as a month-long slide accelerates. Wavering Signals from The Google Trends Momentum Check The … Read more
The “imminent launchpad” I expected for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) prices over a month ago quickly turned into a capsized boat. At the time, Bitcoin was pivoting around its 50-day moving average (DMA). In the week after my last post on Bitcoin prices and the Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC), the GTMC broke the low from June … Read more
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) made a major peak on June 26th. Since then, the cryptocurrency has pivoted around its 50-day moving average (DMA). Three breakdowns of that line of support have been met with buyers which suggests to me that Bitcoin is consolidating a launchpad for imminently higher prices. The Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) supports my … Read more
As Bitcoin (BTC/USD) pulls back again to the $10,000 level, there is a lot of news swirling to explain the sell-off. Google Trends still works as a way to cut through the haze on Bitcoin. Fresh Validation for The Google Trend Momentum Check When Bitcoin ended its last parabolic run on June 26, Google Trends … Read more
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) continues to provide great data points for using Google Trends to assess the sustainability of significant price movements. So many milestones have occurred in such a short period of time that I decided to name this process: the Google Trend Momentum Check or “GTMC” for short. The latest example of the GTMC occurred … Read more
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) broke out to a 13-month high this week, and Google Trends likely confirmed the move just like it confirmed the big April breakout. Google Trends provides an index showing the relative changes in the popularity of Google searches. On the same day that Bitcoin broke out, June 16th, Google searches on “Bitcoin” jumped … Read more
Google Trends continues to serve as a relatively good guide for identifying buy and sell points in Bitcoin (BTC-USD). As the latest example, I used Google Trends to decide to take profits into what looked like over-extended price action on May 13th. The next day, Google search interest peaked. As a reminder, an extreme in … Read more
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is putting the Google Trends indicator to the test. The price of Bitcoin is surging at the same time this key indicator of sentiment is also surging (on a relative basis). Per the Google Trends hypothesis I have demonstrated over time, this surge in excitement is signaling an imminent reversal in the parabolic … Read more
The Price Action A little over a month ago I made the case for a sustained bottom in Bitcoin (BTC/USD) based on the price action combined with Google Trends. I stated the following hypothesis: “a spike in search interest confirms a strong change in price behavior.” The on-going uptrend since that point proves out the hypothesis in … Read more
When I used Google search trends to confirm a buyable breakout and sustainable bottom in Bitcoin (BTC/USD), I created the following hypothesis: “a spike in search interest confirms a strong change in price behavior.” With Bitcoin breaking out again, the hypothesis now looks solid. The chart below shows Bitcoin jumping to a 5-month high that … Read more