Wake Me Once the Market’s Sleepwalking Ends – The Market Breadth

sleepwalking (Credit: Photocapy on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The no worries stock market is sleepwalking its way through April. The major indices are stuck in tight ranges near or at key technical resistance and support levels. Yet, market breadth remains relatively low as many of the big market leaders hold up the tent. Meandering economic data induces some of this … Read more

The Bank of Canada’s Goldilocks Scenario Graces the Canadian Dollar

goldilocks (Source: Brett Jordan on Flickr)

“We are encouraged that inflation is declining, and we are seized with the importance of staying the course and restoring price stability for Canadians. Inflation is coming down quickly and is forecast to be around 3% this summer. The economy is expected to grow modestly even as inflation comes down. This is good news, but it is not job done.” “Monetary … Read more

Fresh Hope from A New Peak in Mortgage Rates – Housing Market Review

fresh hope (Credit: kitty.green66 on Flickr)

Housing Market Intro and Summary Real estate is local. Regional banks often sit at the heart of local communities. So it seems odd writing about the relative strength in the housing market in the wake of the Panic of 2023 that featured the historic collapse of two regional banks, Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) and Signature … Read more

A Bullish Bear Market – The Market Breadth

bullish bear (Credit: ell brown on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: This stock market is one bullish bear market. A bear market perhaps cannot get more bullish than the current market. Since the October lows, the various indices have shown a general upside bias. As much time that I have spent the last several weeks looking for excuses to get bearish, the market … Read more

Signs of Stabilization Ahead of the Spring Selling Season – Housing Market Review

stabilization (Credit: Washington State Office of Transportation on Flickr)

Housing Market Intro and Summary In my last Housing Market Review, I laid out the case for bracing for what 2023 would bring even as “faint signs of a bottoming for sentiment have started to appear.” The latest housing data and industry expectations suggest that the market is well-braced for 2023. The signs of bottoming … Read more

Yet Another Jobs Report Takes the Shine Off A Post-Fed High – The Market Breadth

shine off (Credit: christophercjensen on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: On cue, the stock market groaned at fresh signs of economic strength, this time from another strong jobs report. The recession Wall Street wants is on hold yet again. The bullish intent that charged out of the wake of the Federal Reserve’s last statement on monetary policy made a sharp u-turn. The … Read more

Overbought Conditions Steepen With Bullish Anticipation – The Market Breadth

steepen (Credit: Skyrush climbing the lift hill by Intamin10 on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market had quite a bullish week especially considering another Federal Reserve meeting is right around the corner. The week started with a push into overbought conditions and buyers proceeded to slowly steepen overbought conditions the rest of the week. I am quite surprised by this bullish anticipation ahead of the … Read more

And the Churn Goes On – The Market Breadth

churn (Credit: Fish schooling! by Madhava Enros on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Mid-week, fresh drama in crypto looked like the next pivot point for the stock market. Instead, the bout of selling turned into a forgettable speedbump. Buyers returned with force in Bitcoin (BTC/USD), and the major stock indices recovered from major technical breakdowns and tests. In recent weeks, the stock market has bounced … Read more

Parabolic Gold and Crypto In Focus with Looming Debt Drama

national debt drama (Credit: Peter G. Peterson Foundation)

With the power change in the U.S. House of Representatives, 2023 will be another year of drama over the U.S.’s debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently brought the looming debt drama to the forefront of economic headlines by delivering the obligatory warning about the risk of default if Congress does not increase the debt … Read more

Overbought But Making A Bullish Case With Key Breakouts – The Market Breadth

bullish case (Credit: LEGO Collectible Minifigures Series 9 : Judge by wiredforlego on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Last week was a bullish week for the stock market. Key breakouts on the major indices made a bullish case for stocks as buying strength conjured up overbought trading conditions. Yet another post-CPI celebration sealed the deal on a bullish convergence leading into the report on inflation. While it is tempting to … Read more