ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is up 38% since I made it my #1 homebuilder stock for 2013. The stock is up 32% year-to-date. Too bad part of my investment strategy for … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 22, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Suddenly, I am much more interested in the solar industry again. In late 2011, I tried to lay out some rules for identifying survivors of the solar recession (see “Using Debt-To-Equity … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) is a 4-year old company based in Irvine, California that on January 31, 2013 became the first homebuilder to go IPO since 2004. The Starwood Fund, managed … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 22, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is that time of year: the next earnings report from Apple (AAPL). {snip} As Aaron Task says in the intro of today’s Daily Ticker – “Bracing for Disaster: How Bad … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Another Amazon.com (AMZN) earnings call, more unimpressive guidance (this time, Q1 guidance for $15.0 to 16.6B revenue below expectations and for operating income -$285 to 65M around expectations), an immediate … Read more
It is time for Apple (AAPL) earnings again, but this time around I did not have a chance to update my price-based analysis. Last time around (October 25, 2012), AAPL dropped a mere 0.9% post-earnings after bouncing off the 200DMA for the first re-test since November, 2011. The stock eventually proceeded to continue a strong … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, December 28, 2012, Nightly Business Report interviewed Martin Connor, the CFO of luxury homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL). I am on the lookout for 2013 guidance from homebuilders, so this … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In early October, I ended the trade in Skullcandy (SKULL) playing a bounceback from Morgan Stanley’s devastating downgrade, but noted I would remain a buyer on dips (see “Skullcandy Recovers Losses … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For over three months, First Solar (FSLR) has benefited from a lack of bad news. When FLSR announced on August 30th that it would halt deliveries of solar panels to its … Read more