Santa Rally Denied: The Fed Stays Naughty – The Market Breadth

fed stays naughty (Credit: you're a mean one, mr. grinch... by Wicked Little Cake Company on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: A week ago, I cautioned that “the tenuous positioning is further weakened by a breakout of volatility and significant deterioration in the market breadth indicators.” The November CPI report showed the slightest surprise possible and faked out the stock market on the way to another hawkish statement from the Federal Reserve on … Read more

Clinging to Support Ahead of the Fed – The Market Breadth

clinging to support (Credit: Ambulance crash by Digital_Third_Eye on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: After some good economic data, the stock market looks quite wary ahead of the coming Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. After two swift down days to start the week, the stock market did its best job clinging to support and the lows of the week. The tenuous positioning is further weakened by … Read more

Good Economic News Sends Stocks Into Rapid Retreat – The Market Breadth

rapid retreat (Credit: I'm still running away by Vincepal on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: I expressed my surprise after the stock market soared in response to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s inflation-fighting speech. I thought Powell simply reiterated known information with more reminders of the Fed’s inflation-fighting commitment. Since then, two strong economic reports in a row have sent the stock market into rapid retreat from that … Read more

Stocks Rush Back to Overbought Despite Powell’s Fresh Inflation-Fighting Warnings – The Market Breadth

rush back (Credit: Oskar running in the snow II by Tambako the Jaguar from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Social unrest from fresh COVID lockdowns in China are already a distant memory for the U.S. stock market. Just as quickly as the stock market bearishly failed once again to hold overbought trading conditions, market breadth flipped the script to surge and rush back to overbought. Buyers and bulls celebrated a speech … Read more

A Respite from Rising Rates – Housing Market Review

respite (Credit: Short respite for the Ruby Mountain Crew while cutting fire line in Division W by USFS Rocky Mtns from Flickr)

Housing Market Intro and Summary In my last Housing Market Review, I described how a housing recession was reflected in the worsening housing data, including the latest report on U.S. GDP. While new home sales made another surprise bounce in October, the rest of the housing data continued to worsen in the month. However, a … Read more