Quantifying the Significance of Black Friday Trading

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The day after Thanksgiving, affectionately known as Black Friday, is an odd day of trading. For whatever reason, the exchanges open for business for part of the day even as most people … Read more

T2108 Update (November 29, 2012) – Resistance

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (November 28, 2012) – Successful (And Dramatic) Retest of the 200-Day Moving Average

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Japanese Yen Strengthens “On Schedule”

Today, market traders are noting that the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds, also known as JGBs, dropped to 9-year lows at 0.72%. This weakness in yields stands in stark contrast to the Japanese yen’s (FXY) spate of weakness over the past two months and especially over the past two weeks. A week ago, I … Read more

This Time SHOULD Be Different – Fade the Japanese Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Japanese yen (FXY) traders have been here before. Earlier this year, the U.S. dollar (UUP) ripped from historic lows against the yen around 76 to a peak just above 84 in just … Read more

With Housing Demand Rebounding, Negative Equity Now Supports Housing Values

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Zillow’s Q3 negative home equity report helps to shed more light on the underlying factors supporting the housing recovery. According to Zillow (Z): “…high negative equity rates have contributed to appreciation, … Read more

Home Depot: Housing Market Now A Positive Contribution to Company’s Growth

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) By now, news about the budding housing recovery should feel like very old news. However, I think it still makes sense to continue checking in with companies with front row seats … Read more

Whirlpool Optimistic About A Recovery in Structural Demand

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Back in February, I reviewed the latest earnings report from Whirlpool (WHR) and concluded that the stock still had upside but it was better to buy on a dip. {snip} Source: … Read more

The Bottoming In Private Residential Fixed Investment Continues

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 31, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week’s U.S. GDP print (advance estimate, revisions to come) came in slightly stronger than expected with an annualized growth rate of 2.0%. Financial markets had relatively muted reactions. The S&P … Read more

T2108 Update (November 19, 2012) – A Powermove Statement, Oversold No More!

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more