ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
I have been harping on retail as a contrary investment and trade for the past month or so. A reader prompted me to consider whether a seasonal element helps explain the current run-up that has turned into a bona fide breakout for the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT). Turns out the answer is “not really.” … Read more
AT40 = 60.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary I call it a mini panic dip. Political news roiled the stock market for a brief moment, a grand 30 minutes … Read more
I am a fan of using Google Trends for understanding the dynamics of financial markets. I have specifically used it in the past for analyzing extremes in sentiment and trading on gold. Given Bitcoin’s latest historical surge – this time through $11,000 – I wondered whether Google (GOOG) searches were increasing alongside the price of … Read more
The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in October, 2017 for September, 2017. At the time, I lamented having too small an exposure to home builders while the entire sector rallied nearly non-stop. I was counting on seasonal patterns to deliver at least one buyable dip ahead of the seasonally strong period starting in … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) November dashed my expectation for a range-bound Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN). The November World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) threw a curve ball of sorts by further underlining surplus conditions … Read more