T2108 Update (September 27, 2013) – S&P 500 and T2108 Divergence Continue as the VIX Pops

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Demographics and Labor Flows Drive the Implications of the Labor Participation Rate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 22, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In his opening statement for his press conference following the latest meeting of the Federal Reserve, Chairman Ben Bernanke once again called out the influence of lower participation rates on unemployment… … Read more

Homebuilders Press On With Expansion Plans

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Homebuilders have claimed immunity from higher interest rates, and they are acting like it. Today (September 4th), Meritage Homes (MTH) and M.D.C. Holdings (MDC) announced their continuing expansion and investment in … Read more

International Paper Continues Business Adjustment As Accelerating Digitization Forces Mill Closure

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. Postal Service is engaged in a well-publicized battle for survival in this era of digitization. With the closure of its paper mill in Courtland, Alabama, International Paper (IP) has … Read more

Time to Watch the Forex Action Unfold: React, Not Anticipate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a week since the Federal Reserve surprised the globe when it backed off from its earlier tough talk about bond tapering. The U.S. dollar index (UUP) plunged in … Read more

An Apparent About Face As Carney Bails On QE, Provides Rocket Fuel for the Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) A simple statement is all it took: “THE Bank of England would consider the case for more quantitative easing should the recovery falter, Mark Carney told the Yorkshire Post. ‘But my … Read more

T2108 Update (September 24, 2013) – Fed Fade Complete as Markets Prepare to Meander(?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review: Netflix Potential Topping Action

Netflix (NFLX) has been on a wild ride as sentiment about the company’s business has swung from extremes of optimism to pessimism and back again. I have been keeping a casual eye on the stock for any signs of the next change. Today, September 23, may have delivered that change. On high selling volume, NFLX … Read more

Chart Review: AAPL Not Over Hump, AMZN Launches Again, BBY 3-Year Highs, SKUL Breakout, And More

This chart review covers the following stocks Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Best Buy (BBY), Skull Candy (SKUL), Priceline.com (PCLN), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), and Caterpillar (CAT). Apple (AAPL) In retrospect, last Monday’s plunge now looks like some kind of “manipulation.” The stock plunged 3.2% on no immediate news so the selling looked like follow-through to the previous … Read more

T2108 Update (September 20, 2013) – Another Halt Short of Overbought As Long-Term Technicals Continue Deteriorating

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more