ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
Mar
6

Rising Rate Expectations Add to Changes in Market Sentiment

written by Dr. Duru

I have become accustomed to a relatively predictable reaction to moves in the market’s expectations for rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Last week began in the wake of the market finally bringing its expectations for the next rate hike back into 2016. The cascade of impacts from there were predictable: a stronger U.S. […]

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Feb
29

A Cascade of Impacts from Rate Hike Expectations Planted Back In 2016

written by Dr. Duru

On Friday, February 26th, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis reported revised GDP results for Q4 2015. The number went from a first estimate of 0.7% to 1.0% annualized. The Bureau of Economic Analysis declared “with this second estimate for the fourth quarter, the general picture of economic growth remains the same; […]

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Feb
17

T2108 Update (February 16, 2016) – Follow-Through On Oversold Bounce

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (February 16, 2016) – Follow-Through On Oversold Bounce »

Feb
7

T2108 Update (February 5, 2016) – The Fallen Ones

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (February 5, 2016) – The Fallen Ones »

Jan
27

T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade »

Dec
2

No Bottom Yet for Gold But Its Current Decline Should Soon Slow

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 29, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to hike interest rates in December. The Fed and economic data have finally convinced the market of an imminent rate hike, and the high odds […]

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Oct
14

T2108 Update (October 14, 2015) – Retail Fails the Test As the S&P 500 Mildly Stares At Its Own

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (October 14, 2015) – Retail Fails the Test As the S&P 500 Mildly Stares At Its Own »

Aug
19

Fed’s Insistence On Transitory Disinflation Puts A Pause on the GLD Trade

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 29, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) This year has started for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) in a fashion eerily similar to 2014. On December 18, 2013, the Federal Reserve officially announced the planned tapering of its bond […]

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Aug
12

T2108 Update (August 12, 2015) – Amplified Chop

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (August 12, 2015) – Amplified Chop »

Jul
27

The Commodity Crash Accelerates: A New Juncture for Buying Gold

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 27, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) This month’s acceleration in the now 4-year sell-off in commodities seems to indicate that markets are getting serious about bracing for a tightening cycle from the Federal Reserve. I have mainly […]

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