Above the 40 (April 13, 2017) – The S&P 500 Suffers A Convincing End to Bullish Divergence

AT40 = 38.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (notable caveats explained below) Commentary The 50-day moving average (DMA) is no longer golden. It figures that on a day … Read more

Above the 40 (March 31, 2017) – Synched Junctures In Financial Markets As A Bullish Divergence Tries to Shine

AT40 = 49.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (see caveats below) Commentary On Thursday, March 30 (2017), the S&P 500 (SPY) closed above its downtrending 20-day moving average … Read more

Above the 40 (March 28, 2017) – The S&P 500 Follows Through In Bullish Form

AT40 = 41.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.5 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I switched the short-term trading call from bearish to neutral just in time. The follow-through to yesterday’s setup … Read more

Above the 40 (March 27, 2017) – Sellers Fold, Buyers Chase SNAP Underwriters

AT40 = 36.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Imagine that, the S&P 500 (SPY) found buyers to defend support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The NASDAQ (QQQ) … Read more

Above the 40 (March 24, 2017) – Small Caps Fight for the Bulls, Euro Presses Higher

AT40 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bearish Commentary In my last “Above the 40“, I noted how the stock market took a pause in deference to the growing … Read more

Above the 40 (March 22, 2017) – A Bear Pause Before D.C. Puts Its First Official Stamp On the Trump Rally

AT40 = 35.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.8 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bearish Commentary The sellers did their best to create follow-through selling to the previous day’s bearish breakdown. As has been the case … Read more

Above the 40 (March 21, 2017) – A (Brief?) Time to Get Bearish On the Stock Market

AT40 = 35.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.5 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bearish Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) finally flipped the switch on the bearish threshold I have described since the last bullish breakout … Read more

Above the 40 (March 20, 2017) – Stock Market Returns to Regularly Scheduled Programming

AT40 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 61.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary In my last Above the 40, I pointed out a surprising and mild bullish divergence. Like so much else in … Read more

Above the 40 (March 17, 2017) – Financials Continue Drag As Hints Of A BULLISH Divergence Emerge

AT40 = 50.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary After the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates, the market’s expectations on future rate hikes relaxed a bit. That relaxation … Read more

Above the 40 (March 15, 2017) – Stock Market Rate Hike Celebration Forgot the Financials

AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 62.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.6 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The U.S. Federal Reserve hiked its interest rate as expected by 0.25%. The accompanying statement was remarkable only for being … Read more