Above the 40 (January 25, 2019) – Stock Market Completes A 1-Week Roundtrip Back to Overbought

AT40 = 76.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (1st overbought day)AT200 = 28.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 2-month high)VIX = 17.4Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary It was just a week ago when the stock market surged to overbought levels in a bullish move. AT40 … Read more

Above the 40 (January 11, 2019) – A Stock Market of Parallel Exhaustion and Breakouts

AT40 = 52.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (4-month high)AT200 = 22.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (4-week high)VIX = 18.2 (5-week low)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The major indices are still showing signs of exhaustion, but the sellers have yet to wrest back control … Read more

Above the 40 (December 26, 2018) – Oversold Chronicles: Stock Market Delivers Major Reprieve for the Post-Trump Reversal

AT40 = 6.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #8)AT200 = 11.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 30.4 (down 15.7%)Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Pick your favorite catalyst or explanation. I am sure there is good news (or the absence of bad news) out … Read more

Above the 40 (December 17, 2018) – A Deeply Oversold Market No Longer Expects Rate Hikes in 2019

AT40 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2)AT200 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 34-month low)VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish (caveats below!) CommentaryThe week started as I expected based on the technical setup on Friday that I discussed in the … Read more

Above the 40 (November 16, 2018) – A Week-Ending Sigh of Relief As Market Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 34.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 31.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The countdown to “hedge fund d-day” is finally behind the market. via GIPHY So far, the results are encouraging while the market … Read more