A Time to Retreat to Neutral on the Stock Market – Above the 40 (November 4, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 48.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 29.6. (a plunge of 16.8%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Stock Market Commentary At the time of writing, the U.S. … Read more

Stock Market Support Melts Away, Delays Launch to Higher Prices – Above the 40 (October 26, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 32.5 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked like it was warming up from a period of cooling … Read more

A Stock Market Warming Up from A Period of Cooling – Above the 40 (October 23, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 59.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 27.6 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market cooling continued all of last week. After a sharp one-day pullback … Read more

A Bullish Divergence for Stocks Even As President Falls to the Coronavirus – Above the 40 (October 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 41.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ranged from 25.8% to 42.8%) AT200 = 42.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (ranged from 39.2% to 45.5%) VIX = 27.6 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Last Friday was the kind of … Read more

Oversold Stock Market Conditions End With An Immediate Challenge – Above the 40 (September 25, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 23.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 2-day oversold period)AT200 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 26.4Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The oversold period lasted just two days, a typical length of time for oversold periods. … Read more

The Volatility Index During Oversold Periods In the Stock Market

When the stock market last flipped to oversold trading conditions, I expected at least one more spike in the volatility index (VIX) before oversold trading ended. I define oversold as a period of trading in the stock market when AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), closes below … Read more

Stock Market Gap-Downs Send Traders Back to High Tech Playbook – Above the 40 (September 21, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 28.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs). (traded as low as 24.8%)AT200 = 40.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.8 (traded as high as 31.1)Short-term Trading Call: neutral (changed from cautiously bearish) Stock Market Commentary For a brief moment the entire … Read more

A Tech Stock Breakdown While Rest of Market Yawns – Above the 40 (September 18, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 44.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 25.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Tech stocks led the way up, and now they are leading the way down. The top 1% of the … Read more

Tech Fertilizes the Weeds in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (September 11, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 40.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 43.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2 1/2 week low)VIX = 31.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary The weeds in the stock market thickened last week. Tech stocks fertilized the … Read more

The Stock Market’s Garden Grows More Weeds In Sell-Off – Above the 40 (September 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 42.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 42.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2 1/2 week low)VIX = 31.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary The swift stock market sell-off took a fresh turn for the worse. AT200 … Read more