KB Home: Waiting on Margin News Despite Strong Preliminary Report

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 12, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) KB Home (KBH) has made good on its promise to focus more on short-term monetization. Since reporting disappointing earnings on January 13, 2015, KBH has already announced six openings, grand openings, … Read more

Why Home Builders Are Off to A Relatively Strong Start In 2015

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 9, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is still very early in the new year, but I cannot help notice the relative strength exhibited by iShares Trust – iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) and several major … Read more

T2108 Update (December 31, 2014) – A Roller Coaster Year Ends With A Historic Extreme In Volatility

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Do Not Get Distracted By Insider Stock Sales at Toll Brothers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 19, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Back in 2009, I was as bearish on housing as anyone. For example, I wrote two pieces pointing to massive insider stock sales at Toll Brothers (TOL) as evidence that company … Read more

Baby Boomers Are Not Likely to Cause the Next Housing Crisis (Part 2 of 2)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “‘It’s romantic for the first 15 years when you’re turning 65 and retired…But aging in place among 90-year-olds? 95-year-olds?’ Many of these people…won’t realize that they can’t mow the lawn or … Read more