Was the Stock Market “Oversold Enough”? – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) once again avoided breaking the oversold threshold. Its sharp rebound set a new high for the year.

Stock Market Commentary The week opened with market breadth dropping to within five percentage points of the oversold threshold. This was the closest encounter with oversold since late October, 2023. The stock market never looked back from there. A favorable mid-week inflation report helped propel the stock market with the assistance of declining long-term bond … Read more

Post-Election Euphoria Fizzling with Oversold In Sight – The Market Breadth

Post-Election Euphoria Fizzling with Oversold In Sight - The Market Breadth (credit: mariotto52 https://www.flickr.com/photos/31502604@N00/80170060)

Stock Market Commentary Writing about financial markets always feels surreal when tragedy and disaster dominate the news headlines. My cognitive dissonance gets particularly poignant when the stock market does not reflect the scale and scope of events. As massive fires rage in Los Angeles causing to-date $135B to $150B in economic losses and loss of … Read more

Market Breadth Firms to Start the Year – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) set a new low for 2024 before firming to start the year.

Stock Market Commentary The new year of 2025 got off to a rocky start with the weight of the last Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy pushing fresh losses across the indices. I assumed this price action signaled the market’s readiness to cash in on the capital gains that it did not want to register … Read more

How Home Builder Stocks Trade In A Seasonal Pattern (2025 Update)

seasonal pattern home builders (Credit: Housing Market by free pictures of money on Flickr)

Introduction The U.S. housing market follows a seasonal pattern. The spring selling season typically represents the year’s peak of activity in the housing market. During this time, households try to settle into a new home before summer travel or well ahead of the Fall start to the next school year. Like retailers who eagerly anticipate … Read more

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Matti Mattila on Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/65448940@N00/3054240654)

Stock Market Commentary Investopedia defines the Santa Rally very precisely: “A Santa Claus rally refers to the sustained increases found in the stock market during the last five trading days of December through the first two trading days of January.” Based on this definition, Santa is failing…and just as the stock market risks a January … Read more