ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
AT40 = 65.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 53.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.0Short-term Trading Call: bearish (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary A security guard slipped and clipped the heels of Tiger Woods at the Masters this weekend. The tripping of Woods was … Read more
The Australian dollar (FXA) tends to be correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY). The Japanese yen (FXY) tends to be inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY). The exceptions to these relationships are notable because the inevitable return to these relationships usually present unique trading opportunities. The drivers of these relationships are related to trader … Read more
AT40 = 58.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 48.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 14.3Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary Ever since the last overbought period ended, the stock market has experienced just two clear bearish signals. Each time, the bearishness was well-telegraphed … Read more
AT40 = 52.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2+ month low)AT200 = 42.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 13.7 Short-term Trading Call: bearish (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary The previous Friday’s trading action provided delayed confirmation of my short-term bearish trading call. Last week delivered … Read more
Major central banks typically cut interest rates in response to economic stresses; they ease when the data force them to do so. Some important exceptions in recent history happened 1) in 2016 when Mark Carney’s Bank of England cut rates as a cushion against the potential downsides of the pro-Brexit vote, and 2) when the … Read more