An Oversold Stock Market With Plenty of Downside Risk – Above the 40 (September 23, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 19.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold)AT200 = 36.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary On Monday I switched to a neutral short-term trading call to get mentally ready for a major change … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Celebrates New Fed Inflation Policy – Above the 40 (August 28, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) is back to overbought (above 70%).

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 71.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 7 overbought trading days)AT200 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 23.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Last week was not a good time to be sitting on the sidelines … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Faces Down the Stimulus Stalemate – Above the 40 (August 14, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 76.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (6th day overbought)AT200 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 22.1Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary While the politicians in Washington D.C. play a game of chicken with the economy, the … Read more

The iShares Silver Trust Breaks Out On Maximum Bullishness

Last week’s report from the CFTC’s Commitments of Traders shows that speculators ramped up net longs on silver to levels unseen since at least 2008. I call this “maximum bullishness.” Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders Since June, 2014, the peaks in run-ups of net longs have generally trended higher and higher. Those buying sprees … Read more

Gold AND Silver Enthusiasm Soar to Historic Levels In the Wake of Collapsing Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 14th, I wrote my reasons for believing that a bottom for gold would prove elusive. At the time, I was thinking gold (GLD) could experience a new extended phase … Read more