ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 14th, I wrote my reasons for believing that a bottom for gold would prove elusive. At the time, I was thinking gold (GLD) could experience a new extended phase … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) During the height of the banking crisis in Cyprus, I figured gold (GLD) would be a good trade. That lasted for all of a few days. {snip} I have seen some … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} While it is still far from clear that the risky bailout plan for Cyprus will pass the country’s legislative body – a vote that was scheduled for Sunday has been … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The day before the 2012 U.S. Presidential election, the U.S. dollar (UUP) climbed above its 200-day moving average (DMA), a critical resistance that I assumed it could not crack in the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When the Federal Reserve promises to print money for an indefinite amount of time, it seems obvious to put trashy cash into assets that cannot be so easily manufactured. This shift … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For those who have paid attention to the words of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, it is no surprise that money-printing continues to be the response to persistently poor economic performance. … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “…the private sector’s revised outlook for the policy rate also appears to reflect a growing appreciation of how forceful the FOMC intends to be in supporting a sustainable recovery.” (Ben Bernanke … Read more
While writing about the attractive price of Pan American Silver (PAAS) and the seemingly imminent breakoout for silver (SLV), I neglected to note that SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has already broken out from its extended downtrend. This move is of course inspired by Ben Bernanke’s Jackson Hole speech. At the same time the market anticipates … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I did not think it would happen, but the dollar index finally closed above its “QE2 reference price.” {snip} I have contended that if the dollar index reached current levels, the … Read more