Above the 40 (December 7, 2018) – Right Back Where the Stock Market Started, But Worse

AT40 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just off a 32-month low)VIX = 23.2 (as high as 24.7)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryI am surprised the stock market has yet to close in oversold conditions. AT40 (T2108), the … Read more

Above the 40 (November 20, 2018) – Not Yet Oversold But Stock Market Makes An Important Low

AT40 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 24.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low) VIX = 22.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage continues in the stock market. Amid all the carnage and massive gap downs, I am surprised … Read more

Above the 40 (November 16, 2018) – A Week-Ending Sigh of Relief As Market Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 34.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 31.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The countdown to “hedge fund d-day” is finally behind the market. via GIPHY So far, the results are encouraging while the market … Read more

Above the 40 (October 29, 2018) – The Extended Oversold Period Finally Delivers A Bullish Divergence

AT40 = 11.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – (as high as 15.6%) 9th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (as high as 29.3%) VIX = 24.7 (as high as 27.9) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary … Read more

Above the 40 (October 24, 2018) – The Second Derivative Is Here for the Stock Market (New Oversold Extremes)

AT40 = 11.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 6th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.6%) AT200 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (as low as 26.7%) VIX = 25.2 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Time to take a … Read more