Positioning More Bearishly Versus the Australian Dollar As It Loses 2012’s Gains

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have been writing more and more bearishly on the Australian dollar this year (for example, see “Reserve Bank Of Australia Seems Biased Toward More Monetary Easing“). After BHP Billiton (BHP) … Read more

The Australian Dollar’s Slide Versus the British Pound Accelerates

Last week I asked whether time is running out for the Australian dollar versus the British pound. Apparently, the answer is yes. The very next day, the GBP/AUD currency pair surged upward through the previous trading channel. Only the 200-day moving average (DMA) stopped the momentum. But even that reprieve looks very temporary. As of … Read more

Chart Review: Time Running Out For Trading the Australian Dollar Against the British Pound?

The GBP/AUD currency pair – the British pound versus the Australian dollar – combined the best of two worlds for me: my bearishness on the British pound and my bullishness on the Australian dollar. Even though I ended my love affair with the Australian dollar almost two weeks ago, I continue to enjoy trading the … Read more

The Australian Dollar Continues to Lose the Race Against the S&P 500 in 2012

Someone forgot to tell the Australian dollar that financial markets are in “risk on” mode. While the Australian dollar is still up for the year against the U.S. dollar, it continues to lag the S&P 500 (SPY) by a greater and greater distance. The Aussie is now up 2.6% versus the U.S. dollar whereas the … Read more

My Love Affair with the Australian Dollar Has Officially Ended

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip}…this is a good moment to describe finally why I recently sold my long-term holdings in the Rydex CurrencyShares Australian (FXA). {snip} Never once have I pondered the possibility of the … Read more

T2108 Update – February 7, 2012 (Picking up dollars in front of a steamroller)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 88% (overbought day #25) … Read more

Australian Dollar Breaks Out Versus the Japanese Yen

A week ago, I reviewed the technicals on the Australian dollar versus various currencies. If you blinked, you missed the picture-perfect setup against the Japanese yen (AUD/JPY). I pointed out that a retest of the 200-day moving average would provide a good entry point. AUD/JPY did not quite touch this point of important support, but … Read more

Australian Dollar Ends Year Flat, Maintaining Close Correlation With S&P 500

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) At the end of 2010, the Australian dollar closed at an all-time high against the U.S. dollar; the Aussie gained 14% and yielded 4.75% (for more details see “The Australian Dollar … Read more

Governor King Still Gives Me Plenty of Reason for Remaining Bearish on the Pound

On June 15, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House. The speech covered very familiar themes for King and the Bank of England. King first acknowledged the squeeze on the economy in the United Kingdom: “The challenge … Read more

Looking for Silver’s Higher Margin Requirements to Create A “Cooling Off” Period

A surprise increase in margin requirements after the close of business November 10th apparently contributed to the climactic end to silver’s parabolic move on Tuesday. This also explains why gold’s fade was not nearly as bad a silver’s. Details are available in the following references in order of publication: CNBC (Tues): “CME Taps the Brakes … Read more