T2108 Update (January 27, 2014) – Market Stretches Further Into Quasi-Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 24, 2014) – Sellers Make A Statement As Market Goes Quasi-Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 23, 2014) -Overbought for One Day…And All Aussie-Yen Breaks Loose

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Chart Review: The Power of 50 – Carving Out A Large Swath Of Key Pivots?

Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches … Read more

The Australian Dollar And Japanese Yen Start 2014 Joined At The Hip

On December 27th, I wrote “The Australian Dollar And Japanese Yen Enter 2014 Joined At The Hip – A Split Could Be Telling.” So I find it very intriguing, interesting, and validating to see 2014 start with a dramatic example of the shared hip joint between the Australian dollar (FXA) and Japanese yen (FXY). Since … Read more

The Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen Enter 2014 Joined At the Hip – A Split Could Be Telling

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “A Major Test Awaits The Australian Dollar In 2014 As 2013 Delivered New Correlations” I discussed this year’s strong (inverse) relationship between the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the Australian … Read more

The Australian Dollar Emerges A Big Winner from U.S. Fiscal Fiddling

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) must be getting a bit antsy at this point. After working hard to drive the Australian dollar (FXA) downward in an on-going effort to rebalance … Read more

Australian Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends With the Latest RBA Meeting Minutes

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It was fun while it lasted. The anticipated relief rally in the Australian dollar (FXA) seems to have ended in parallel with the release of the meeting minutes from the last … Read more

Relief Rally Underway for the Australian Dollar – Just Barely

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 8, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The move has occurred in fits and starts, but the relief rally I anticipated for the Australian dollar (FXA) appears to be underway. The latest decision on monetary policy from the … Read more

A Crescendo Looms for the Australian Dollar Even As Traders Cast About for New Forex Leader

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Monday night (June 4th, Tuesday morning in Australia), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to leave its cash rate steady at 2.75%. The statement contained no new news and … Read more