An Extended Overbought Rally Moves Into Historic Territory (Above the 40) – December 18, 2020

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve signaled an incremental improvement in its economic outlook by making an allowance for limited stock repurchases and dividends by the country’s top financial institutions. As a result, bank stocks apparently soared in after hours trading. That fresh rally in financials should extend to a positive open on Monday and … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Stronger Than Before – Above the 40 (October 9, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 61.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Without recognizing the bullish divergence that ended the previous week, last week’s trading dynamic of a … Read more

A Manic Stock Market Leaves Behind An Extreme August Drawdown – Above the 40 (August 9, 2019)

Much ado about nothing? The 15-minute chart of the S&P 500 (SPY) shows the gory details of a manic swoon to a near flat close for the week.

AT40 = 37.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) ended the week almost where it started. In between the bookends, the market gyrated wildly … Read more

Internet Stock Valuation Update: Shaved Around the Edges

Here is a very quick tax-day valuation update on select Internet-related stocks. The ordering of stocks by price-to-sales (P/S) ratios did not change much but several stocks have retreated off their most stretched valuations. However, nothing that WAS “expensive” has suddenly become “cheap” now… Click image for details… Source: P/S data from Yahoo Finance {I … Read more

Valuations On High-Flying Internet-Related Stocks Continue to Race Upward

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) This post rides piggyback on a recent Seeking Alpha Market Current quoting concerns from Art Cashin (formerly featured on CNBC) regarding “a bubble in cloud/mobile tech names” and is a follow-up … Read more