An Extended Overbought Rally Moves Into Historic Territory (Above the 40) – December 18, 2020

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve signaled an incremental improvement in its economic outlook by making an allowance for limited stock repurchases and dividends by the country’s top financial institutions. As a result, bank stocks apparently soared in after hours trading. That fresh rally in financials should extend to a positive open on Monday and … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Stronger Than Before – Above the 40 (October 9, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 61.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Without recognizing the bullish divergence that ended the previous week, last week’s trading dynamic of a … Read more

A Manic Stock Market Leaves Behind An Extreme August Drawdown – Above the 40 (August 9, 2019)

Much ado about nothing? The 15-minute chart of the S&P 500 (SPY) shows the gory details of a manic swoon to a near flat close for the week.

AT40 = 37.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) ended the week almost where it started. In between the bookends, the market gyrated wildly … Read more

Internet Stock Valuation Update: Shaved Around the Edges

Here is a very quick tax-day valuation update on select Internet-related stocks. The ordering of stocks by price-to-sales (P/S) ratios did not change much but several stocks have retreated off their most stretched valuations. However, nothing that WAS “expensive” has suddenly become “cheap” now… Click image for details… Source: P/S data from Yahoo Finance {I … Read more

Valuations On High-Flying Internet-Related Stocks Continue to Race Upward

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) This post rides piggyback on a recent Seeking Alpha Market Current quoting concerns from Art Cashin (formerly featured on CNBC) regarding “a bubble in cloud/mobile tech names” and is a follow-up … Read more

Valuation Update: Internet High-Fliers Experience Large Mark-Ups

Many internet-related stocks have been on fire lately. In many ways, the run-up has been about mobile, so it may not even be technically accurate to call this feature a valuation update on internet-related stocks. Regardless, the most notable change since the last update in mid-June is that the internet high-fliers have experienced significant run-ups … Read more

Valuation Update: Facebook Falls, LinkedIn Remains Atop Internet Stocks

This post is a quick update on data that I maintain on price/sales (P/S) ratios on select internet stocks. I periodically refresh the data from Yahoo!Finance (semi-automated with links into a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet) and add the latest data to a chart. The chart is starting to get crowded so I may soon need to … Read more

T2108 Update (May 22, 2013) – Overbought Period Ends With Blow-Off Tops And Sell Signals

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more