A Trading Check-In for Apple’s First Post-Split Week

Apple (AAPL) finished its first post-split week in disappointing fashion. Sure a sell on the news reaction should have been expected, but the strong trade going into the split, right through the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), produced some hope AAPL could hold its own. Apple even entered the week featuring a dramatic shift in trading … Read more

A Dramatic Change in Sentiment for Apple

Just ahead of the start of the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), I wrote that I was preparing for a change in Apple’s trading patterns that would impact the Apple Trading Model (ATM). My main interest was in the coming 7-to-1 stock split and the potential for retail traders leaving options alone to trade directly … Read more

Apple Trading Model – Preparing for A Potential Change In Trading Patterns

Trading in Apple is likely to make a notable change in the coming weeks and months. The Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) begins June 2nd. According to my analysis of trading around the WWDC since 2000, traders treat this event as a “buy the rumor, sell the news” kind of event (see “Buy The Rumor, … Read more

T2108 Update (May 27, 2014) – A Market Stretched In Nearly Every Direction

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Turn-Around In Apple Sentiment Should Push the Stock Back to All-Time Highs

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote is from a piece I wrote in early March titled “Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails To Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In The Stock.” At that time, I was wringing … Read more

T2108 Update (April 30, 2014) – A Stock Market Inching Forward Against Gravity

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails to Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 6, 2014, the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) had snatched up $14B worth of its own stock following January’s post-earnings sell-off: $12B in an accelerated buyback and … Read more

T2108 Update (April 7, 2014) – From Overbought to Quasi-Oversold in Three Days Flat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (March 27, 2014) – Divergent Signals Cloud the Bearish Outlook

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (February 19, 2014) – Here We Go Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more