Divergent Fortunes and Trends – Housing Market Review (June, 2020)

Housing Market Intro and Summary I asked in my last Housing Market Review whether the housing downturn could already be coming to a swift end. The stocks of home builders delivered that message and more and more earnings reports from home builders are apparently delivering messages of a sharp recovery. A widening divergence between existing … Read more

A Trampling at the Frontlines of the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 21.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 33.8Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market is only visible upon close examination. The top technicals for the … Read more

Support for Another Round of Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more

Overbought Holding Pattern for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (May 22, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 73.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 20.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market had a promising start with a large gap up to … Read more

Emerging Currencies: Turkish Lira, South African Rand, Mexican Peso

When a financial market gets expensive, traders and investors start broadening their search for low-price opportunities. As an overbought U.S. stock market hits the late stages of an impressive rebound from March’s crash, its stock market looks expensive. Meanwhile, “emerging market” currencies like the Turkish lira, South African rand, and the Mexican have barely started … Read more