T2108 Update (July 18, 2016) – Bullish Momentum Continues With A Wary Eye on Volatility

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Internet Stock Valuations: Facebook Extends Its Lead

I have waited almost a year to update my data on the valuations of internet-related stocks. The last time I turned the crank on the numbers I documented Facebook’s (FB) ascendency in the valuation ranks. I also guessed that the age of double-digit price-to-sales ratios was coming to an end with the potential exception of … Read more

T2108 Update (July 1, 2016) – Almost Like Nothing Happened: Trading Lessons from a Wild Week

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 28, 2016) – Brexit Relief Bounds from Oversold’s Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

How to Trade the Surprising Post-Brexit Strength of the Australian Dollar

As the smoke started to clear from Friday’s post-Brexit carnage, one currency rose particularly well from the ashes: the Australian dollar (FXA). For example, against the U.S. dollar, the Aussie bounced perfectly off support at its 200-day moving average (DMA) and even maintained its earlier 50DMA breakout. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD traded around 0.76 around the … Read more

Brexit Helps Invalidate A Blow-Off Top for Gold

+500% spike in searches for "buy gold" in the past four hourshttps://t.co/pmMsRUcAwK — GoogleTrends (@GoogleTrends) June 24, 2016 Regular readers know that Google Trends has become my favorite sentiment indicator for assessing gold at the extremes. So I hopped up when I heard about the above tweet on the latest podcast of “Slate Money.” (That … Read more

T2108 Update (June 22, 2016) – Fear Indicators Diverge On Brexit Eve

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 16, 2016) – Synchronized Whiplash

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Next Fed Rate Gets Rescheduled for “Never”

The U.S. Federal Reserve failed to hike rates in its June policy meeting just as expected. More importantly, the Fed left alone its projection of the appropriate policy path for 2016 at 0.9%. The Fed trimmed its expectation for 2017 from 1.9% to 1.6% and slashed 2018 from 3.0% to 2.4%. The “long run” dropped … Read more