On the Way to Oversold, Fed Faces Test of Resolve – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: Trading extremes led to a snapback rally as expected. However, the rally was short-lived as bear market action quickly resumed. The stock market looks like it is on the way to oversold trading conditions as March closing lows failed to hold as support. Fear is palpable as traders and investors scramble to … Read more

Safety Trades Surge As Stock Market Stumbles Toward Oversold – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The runway for (short-term) bearishness has greatly shortened. The classic safety trades sprung to life to add exclamation points to the broadening sell-off. After over 6 weeks of near relentless losses, the Japanese yen (FXY) caught a strong bid. Inflation fears returned to the background as traders eased into Treasury bonds (per … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Snapshots of the Fresh Bearishness

Stock Market Commentary: After much resistance to Fed hawkishness, the U.S. stock market gave way to fresh bearishness. The major indices dropped into new depths of the bear den. The stocks below are snapshots of the latest deterioration in the price action and decline in the technical health underlying the stock market. The ARK funds … Read more

Resistance to the Fed Gives Way to the Bear – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market chopped into bearish conditions in the previous week. My reasons for bearishness were not obvious, but, as is typical, market breadth dynamics led my thinking. Last week, the stock market flagged very clear signs of bearishness. Resistance to the Fed in the form of disbelief in the process of … Read more

Inflation-Friendly Retail Stocks Are Still Outperforming

Stock Market Commentary: Inflation is everywhere in the global economy, and inflation will hang around for some time to come. The inflation problem is so bad that the Federal Reserve does not think inflation will return to its 2% target for another three years. While economists and pundits debate about how long inflation will last, … Read more