TBT Successfully Retests Support From Breakout

A little over two weeks ago I pointed out that it looked like TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20-Year Treasury, had finally bottomed. TBT broke out from an extended consolidation pattern that is the classic hallmark of a sustainable bottom. On Friday, TBT surged 3.3% after having erased all the gains from the breakout. TBT made … Read more

T2108 Update – March 26, 2012 (All Systems Go On the Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 62% VIX Status: 14.3% … Read more

T2108 Update – March 22, 2012 (Maintaining Bullish Bias Even As Bearish Case Grows)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 49% VIX Status: 15.6% … Read more

T2108 Update – March 13, 2012 (A Convincing Breakout But I Am Still A Queasy Bull)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 73% VIX Status: 14.7% … Read more

Chart Review: Breakout Confirmed for Goldman Sachs

Every now and then I see a chart that undermines my expectation for an imminent pullback in the general market. This time, Goldman Sachs (GS) delivered the reluctant surprise. Today, the stock surged 5.2% to fresh 6-month highs. Source: FreeStockCharts.com This is what I had to say about GS in late January during a comprehensive … Read more

T2108 Update – February 28, 2012 (Bearish Divergences)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 80% (overbought day #39) … Read more

Chart Review: Silver Breaks Out

It took almost a month, but silver has finally joined gold in its post-Fed breakout. The chart below shows that silver has broken above stiff resistance at the 50-day moving average (DMA). This resistance has kept silver under a lid for five months. Source: StockCharts.com With the Federal Reserve promising to keep rates low through … Read more

Turn-Around Continues for LPS As More Call Buying Counters Increasing Short Interest

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Lender Processing Services (LPS) has gained 31% year-to-date. This jump follows the activity of intrepid traders/investors who loaded up on LPS June $21 call options in December – these call options … Read more

Australian Dollar Breaks Out Versus the Japanese Yen

A week ago, I reviewed the technicals on the Australian dollar versus various currencies. If you blinked, you missed the picture-perfect setup against the Japanese yen (AUD/JPY). I pointed out that a retest of the 200-day moving average would provide a good entry point. AUD/JPY did not quite touch this point of important support, but … Read more

Chart Review: KB Home Breaks Out, Meritage Recovers Quickly and Approaches Major Multi-Year Breakout

I have written several pieces recently on the housing industry, starting with “Time to Buy the Dips in Homebuilders” (click here for an archive of my articles on housing). The main theme has emphasized that now is the time to start investing in a bottom in housing that I anticipate happening next year. I have … Read more