ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Harbalife (HLF) is on the verge of a major breakout. The stock gained another 2.5% on Friday to close at $55.80, just below the intraday high from July 31, 2012. The charts below show over a year’s worth of trading. The next chart zooms in a little so that you can read the notes I … Read more
Baidu (BIDU) A little over a month ago I advised that traders watch the volume on Baidu (BIDU). I showed the history of false breakouts and of breakdowns on high volume. The bad news is that June’s breakout redux failed and led to false hopes once again that BIDU could finally end its 2-year slide. … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
This chart review includes a follow-up from last week’s chart review of International Business Machines (IBM) and SolarCity (SCTY). International Business Machines (IBM) The potential hammer bottom I identified last week got follow-through, but it was too messy to trade. It took two days for IBM to close at a higher price than the high … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
Baidu (BIDU) is a Chinese internet company specializing in search, and it has a huge fan base. Unfortunately, the stock peaked in July, 2011 and has been on a roller coaster ride downward ever since. The long-term, weekly chart below shows how the 50-week moving average has defined the overall downtrend. The longer-term 200-week moving … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 14th, I wrote my reasons for believing that a bottom for gold would prove elusive. At the time, I was thinking gold (GLD) could experience a new extended phase … Read more
In previous pieces, I have noted how traders and investors continued to load up on call options on Apple (AAPL) despite its persistent decline off all-time highs (for example see “Bullish Earnings Trading Patterns and Sentiment Collide With Apple’s Recent Downtrend“). It seems sentiment has finally taken a dramatic turn commensurate with the dramatic turn … Read more
Here is my latest review of a few charts that have my attention: Apple (AAPL), BlackBerry (BBRY), Facebook (FB), and Autozone (AZO), Fossil (FOSL). Apple (AAPL) Fourteen (14) trading days have passed since Apple (AAPL) made a new low in its standing downtrend from last September’s all-time highs. The stock has closed above the downtrending … Read more
I do not pay much attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) and greatly prefer the S&P 500 (SPY) as being more representative of the stock market. However, anyone with a pulse has likely heard or read the breathless headlines about the Dow’s all-time highs. The Dow is now up ten days in a … Read more