ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Extremes I look for opportunities when markets overreact to sentiment extremes. The recent drama over the logo change for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc (CBRL) provided a textbook case. A redesign consistent with modern branding aesthetics set off a social media backlash, fueled by cultural politics and amplified by high-profile voices. In the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary In a flashback to August’s opening trading salvo, September trading started with a sharp pullback. The decline fit the standard theme of “professional” traders and investors returning from summer vacations to take profits from a market levitating on low volume vapors. However, sensing redux price action, the market’s persistent buyers jumped right … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The month of August featured three distinctly strong expansions of market breadth. The last expansion featured the largest single-day expansion I have ever seen. In between these episodes, the market showed signs of exhaustion. The latest exhaustion is centered on the AI trade. NVDA earnings slightly disappointed and included slowing revenue growth … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Inflation grabbed the headlines last week, but market breadth was just as important for the stock market. With financial markets initially feeling good about the CPI report, buyers rushed for laggard stocks and created a market breadth revival for two days. The abrupt sentiment shift nearly eliminated all my concerns about a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The market staged a quick rebound this week after the “bears break-in” two Fridays ago. Most losses reversed by Monday’s close as buyers stepped in with conviction and quickly repaired the indices. However, the bounce masked the on-going failure of market breadth to keep pace with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, … Read more