May Was A Month of Discontent: Significant Shifts In Positions And Sentiment

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 31, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) At the beginning of this month, I claimed an unwind of confidently long positions was imminent for the Australian dollar. {snip} Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com At … Read more

T2108 Update (May 26, 2016) – Bargain Shoppers In the Aisle of Late May

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (May 20, 2016) – Chopfest

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Reluctant Market Nudges the Expected Timing for Fed Rate Hikes

The message is clear: the U.S. Federal Reserve WANTS to hike rates a few more times this year. Various Fed officials started this week with speeches and interviews discussing their desire to hike rates again as early as June and for a total of two or three hikes in 2016. The response is also clear: … Read more

T2108 Update (May 13, 2016) – An Abrupt Shift From Defiant Buying to Breakdowns

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more