Forex Critical: The End of A Parabolic Surge for the British Pound

Traders have thoroughly beaten up on the U.S. dollar (USD) for the last six weeks. In the past week, the selling accelerated again in the wake of commentary from U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin that the U.S. welcomes a weak currency because of its positive impact on U.S. exports. The British pound (FXB) is one … Read more

Above the 40 (January 23, 2018) – An S&P 500 Back to Overbought And Ripping

AT40 = 70.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – Day #1 of an overbought period AT200 = 66.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (a TEN MONTH HIGH) VIX = 11.1 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) made another all-time high as it continued … Read more

Above the 40 (January 12, 2018) – The S&P 500 Is Overbought At Last

AT40 = 70.01% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – Day #1 of an overbought period AT200 = 63.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.2 Short-term Trading Call: bullish (upgraded from cautiously bullish) Commentary The stock market was last overbought three months ago. At the … Read more

Above the 40 (January 11, 2017) – A Market Soaring Back to the Edge of Overbought

AT40 = 69.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.9 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Last week, I complained about the stock market’s “rubber band” getting stretched. I claimed that AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks … Read more

Above the 40 (January 5, 2018) – The S&P 500 Rubberband Stretches Further

AT40 = 67.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.2 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary In my last Above the 40 I complained that market breadth was once again suffering thanks to an S&P 500 (SPY) … Read more