Above the 40 (March 7, 2017) – A Growing Undertow for the Stock Market

AT40 = 48.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.5 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Market weakness continued to grow today even as the major indices barely notched losses on the day. AT40 (T2108), the … Read more

The Trump Volatility Trade: Nordstrom, Intel, Cognizant Technology, and Biotech

President Trump will address a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night, February 28th. Traders will no doubt have notepads ready to jot down the latest corporate targets of Trump’s wrath and praise. Trump’s words and tweets move markets, yet recent impacts have not lasted and have even worked in reverse of expectations. It is … Read more

QSR Picks Popeyes And Leaves El Pollo Loco As the Last Chicken Standing

So it was true after all. Restaurant Brands (QSR) was indeed drooling over the secret recipes of Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLKI). Today, PLKI soared 19.1% to $78.73/share and a $1.6B market cap, just short of the $79 ($1.8B market cap) that QSR promised to pay for acquiring PLKI. When I discussed the merits of a … Read more

Above the 40 (February 17, 2017) – The S&P 500’s Stubborn Determination

AT40 Status: 64.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 Status: 70.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX Status: 11.5 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) stumbled out the gate and struggled in slightly negative territory for much of the day. A … Read more

Above the 40 (February 13, 2017) – S&P 500 Follow-Through Finally Ends Bearish Divergence

AT40 Status: 66.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 Status: 69.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX Status: 11.1 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary For the first time since December, the S&P 500 (SPY) has displayed strong follow-through to a break out to fresh … Read more

Above the Forty (AT40 – February 3, 2017): The S&P 500 Bids to End Bearish Divergence

AT40 Status: 60.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 Status: 68.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX Status: 11.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Nothing says “strong sentiment” like a stock market that actually rallies on a strong U.S. jobs report: the fear of … Read more

T2108 Update (January 26, 2017) – Another Overbought Period Bites the Dust for the S&P 500

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 4, 2017) – A Tantalizing Day for the Stock Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 30, 2016) – From a Roar to Caution: The S&P 500 Tentatively Steps Toward 2017

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 23, 2016) – Caution Emerges As the Trump Rally Leans On the Santa Claus Effect for Rest

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more