The Breakdown Expanding Underneath the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 0.7% for just its 4th down day of the 12 trading days of August. The index closed at an all-time high the previous day. The pullback looks like just one more tiny pinprick in the middle of a monster run-up during this pandemic. Yet the ongoing deterioration … Read more

Follow-Through Trades: Quick Hits

The Follow-Through: Quick Hits Weakness still lingers from the oversold bounce, but two trades I mentioned in my last Market Breadth post turned into quick hits in the first two days of trading this week. On Monday, Tesla (TSLA) quickly hit my initial profit target on a calendar call spread. I also snagged the calendar … Read more

Weakness Lingers As the Oversold Rebound Cools – The Market Breadth (July 30, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary Welcome to the new world of “The Market Breadth.” I used the switch from AT40 (T2108) to AT50 (MMFI) as my market breadth indicator to improve the name of this blog series. The Market Breadth marks a change from a technical name that sounds like a Space X rocket to an English … Read more

Warnings from Early Divergences in the Oversold Bounce – Above the 40 (July 23, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The oversold bounce last week exceeded my expectations. I did not expect the week to end with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ hitting fresh all-time highs. Both indices seemed to offer limited upside for trading oversold conditions.The oversold bounce also disappointed me. I looked to beaten up stocks as the source … Read more

How Declining Market Breadth Delivered A Beating On Stocks – Above the 40 (July 16, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The stock chickens have come to roost on declining market breadth. The stock market indices still generally appear fine, but an ever growing swath of individual stocks have fallen further and further behind. Last week in particular, sellers delivered an extended beating on individual stocks. The signs of waning confidence in the … Read more