Above the 40DMA (October 16, 2018) – Critical Stock Market 200DMAs Pass the Oversold Test

AT40 = 20.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended a 4-day oversold period AT200 = 39.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX = 17.6 (drop of 17.3%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The average oversold period lasts 5 days. The latest … Read more

Above the 40 (September 28, 2018) – An Over-Stretched Market With Notable Anchors

AT40 = 41.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is stretched yet again based on AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more

Above the 40 (September 21, 2018) – A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500

AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is not quite out the (short-term) woods yet. Last Wednesday I pointed out why the latest bearish divergence forced … Read more

Above the 40 (August 27, 2018) – Parabolic Moves Highlight FOMO Warm-Up Time

AT40 = 62.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.2 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Money managers may desperately want to wait until after Labor Day to put idle cash to work, but the stock market may … Read more

Above the 40 (June 27, 2018) – S&P 500 Breakdown Confirms Earlier Bearish Signals

AT40 = 48.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.9 Short-term Trading Call: bearish Commentary The trading action this week confirmed the bearish change in trading that occurred when AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above … Read more