A Pause in the Frenzy Ends Stock Market Bid for A Parabolic Run-Up – Above the 40 (September 4, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 54.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (intraday low of 45.9% which was solid support in second half of July and early August)AT200 = 46.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 30.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary I thought … Read more

Clorox: Stock’s Breakdown Makes Tepid Guidance Even Less Attractive

Clorox (CLX) is a stalwart of the pandemic economy. The company’s line-up of cleaning and disinfectant products are favorites for COVID-19 safety routines. While the company sells products like vitamins, bags and wraps, cat litter, food, water filtration, and natural personal care, Clorox is the cleaning company. As the cleaning company, the stock has enjoyed … Read more

Nikola: Hitching A Sustainable Trade to Ride Through the Hype

Nikola (NKLA) finally showed some signs of life a day again with a 22% pre-earnings pop after two months of persistent selling.

Zero-emissions truck company Nikola (NKLA) has been a short-seller’s dream for almost two months given the pressure from sellers and a rapidly expanding float. As a pre-revenue company with no product in the market and a multi-billion dollar market cap, Nikola naturally attracts a lot of scrutiny. I finally got interested in the company and … Read more

Hibbett Sports: Anatomy of A Stock’s Bullish Breakout

On June 25th, call options in sportings goods retailer Hibbett Sports (HIBB) sprang to life. At the time, around 1500 October $22.50 calls traded versus 0 open interest. On June 29th, open interest climbed above 2500. For context, HIBB options are sparsely traded. The second highest open interest sits with the Jan 15 ’21 calls … Read more

Why Lennar and Other Home Builder Stocks Failed to Rally On Good News

The Message in Home Builder Sentiment The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported a tremendous surge in the sentiment of home builders. The Housing Market Index (HMI) soared from 37 in May to 58 in June. Just two months after suffering a historic plunge, sentiment among home builders is right back to positive territory. … Read more