ATM: The Apple Trading Model Formalized

I finally took some time to further formalize the Apple Trading Model (ATM). To-date, I have described this in extensive detail showing Apple’s (AAPL) daily trading patterns and post-earnings trading patterns. I took these lessons (updated periodically in other posts) and created a very simple dataset as a foundation for running a regression tree (a … Read more

T2108 Update (July 19, 2013) – A Key Juncture As the Market Creeps Toward Overbought; Google and Apple Earnings Technicals

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (July 17, 2013) – Small Stall At All-Time Intraday High; Chart Review Madness

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: IBM, SolarCity, Apple, and Google

This chart review includes a follow-up from last week’s chart review of International Business Machines (IBM) and SolarCity (SCTY). International Business Machines (IBM) The potential hammer bottom I identified last week got follow-through, but it was too messy to trade. It took two days for IBM to close at a higher price than the high … Read more

T2108 Update (July 5, 2013) – S&P 500 Finally Makes A Breakthrough

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (July 1, 2013) – Oversold Bounce Hits the Wall Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: IBM Roundtrip Prints Potential Bottom; SolarCity Ready to Explode Again

International Business Machines (IBM) International Business Machines (IBM) experienced an unusually large post-earnings drop of 8.3% on April 19th. This was despite reaffirming its FY13 earnings guidance. After one more day of selling, it was off to the races. In less than a month, IBM had recovered all its post-earnings losses. The stock churned and … Read more

Baidu Breakout Redux: Watch the Volume

Baidu (BIDU) is a Chinese internet company specializing in search, and it has a huge fan base. Unfortunately, the stock peaked in July, 2011 and has been on a roller coaster ride downward ever since. The long-term, weekly chart below shows how the 50-week moving average has defined the overall downtrend. The longer-term 200-week moving … Read more

T2108 Update (June 6, 2013) – Predicted Bounce from Quasi-Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Apple Is Between A Bottom And A Hard $500

About six weeks have passed since Apple printed an apparent bottom in the wake of the tumultuous trading surrounding its April earnings report. With the benefit of hindsight, I think it is worthwhile to look back at some important highlights to consider whether this bottom is a sustainable one and what the prospects might be … Read more