Above the 40 (December 7, 2018) – Right Back Where the Stock Market Started, But Worse

AT40 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just off a 32-month low)VIX = 23.2 (as high as 24.7)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryI am surprised the stock market has yet to close in oversold conditions. AT40 (T2108), the … Read more

Above the 40 (December 6, 2018) – Arresting Developments At Another Oversold Edge

AT40 = 31.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just off a 32-month low)VIX = 21.2 (as high as 25.9)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryI have become convinced that 2019 is going to deliver another one of those poor trading … Read more

Above the 40 (November 23, 2018) – Stock Market Barely Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 27.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 21.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week on November 20th, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving … Read more

Above the 40 (November 14, 2018) – An Apple Breakdown Nudges Stock Market Toward Oversold

AT40 = 29.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage in the stock market continues to spread as the countdown to “hedge fund d-day” nears an end. AT40 (T2108), … Read more

Above the 40 (November 12, 2018) – First the Brakes, Now the Body Blow: Technical Damage Spreads

AT40 = 35.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 31.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 20.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary via GIPHY The bears took back complete control of the market. Friday, they sent up the warning signal with the screeching of … Read more