ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Amazon.com’s (AMZN) last earnings at the end of January, I recommended buying the stock (or call options) right at the open based on historical trading patterns (see “Why Amazon.com Was … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ahead of Apple’s (AAPL) earnings on Tuesday, April 24, I wrote the following {snip} I went on to demonstrate the strong relationship between Apple’s average price change two weeks ahead of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) This post is a follow-up to one I wrote last week titled “Time to Buy Zynga Ahead of the Facebook IPO.” In that post, I provided a very rough upside price … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) If recent history has any relevance to the upcoming (and much anticipated) earnings announcement on April 24th from Apple (AAPL), odds favor a very positive reaction the following day. I generally … Read more
With each passing day in the April downtrend, Apple’s stock chart gets more and more interesting. Today, Apple (APPL) almost pounded out a hammer. Given the final resting point on the 50-day moving average (DMA), I would throw caution to the wind and call today’s pattern a hammer, but I am showing some deference to … Read more
One month ago, Polycom (PLCM) dropped 10% seemingly out of nowhere on relatively high volume. On April 5, PLCM dropped 20% in the wake of an earnings warning in which the company stated their “…growth rate was below our overall expectations, driven primarily by shortfalls in Asia Pacific and North America.” On a GAAP basis, … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After traders packed up for the weekend, Groupon (GRPN) issued two warnings during the evening of March 30th. First, Groupon discovered it under-estimated its refund rate for the previous quarter. As … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This is the change in “guidance practices” and outlook that beleaguered mobile company Research In Motion (RIMM) announced in its latest earnings report today. It has all the trappings of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) According to ETF Channel, Best Buy (BBY) is the second largest holding of the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT). Yet, BBY is greatly underperforming this retail ETF. While XRT is at … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Despite an improving outlook for KB Home (KBH), the stock sold off post-earnings on Friday. KBH dropped 8.5% for the day after dropping as much as 15.0% and after closing the … Read more