ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
On May 18th, I wrote that Amazon.com (AMZN) had triggered a post-earnings short by closing below the low of trading in the immediate aftermath of the last earnings report (at $220). However, I did not recommend pulling the trigger because the market was oversold at the time. Surprisingly, AMZN did not benefit from the market’s … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Tuesday, May 29, I described a trade on Joy Global (JOY) earnings featuring a bullish bias with a hedge. {snip} JOY ended up disappointing investors… {snip}… Investors and traders clearly … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 31, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Since a spate of heavy call buying in February, short interest has taken a fresh plunge. It has now returned to levels last seen right before foreclosuregate exploded. Source: NASDAQ.com … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} JOY reports earnings on the morning of May 31st with its stock struggling to stay above 2011 lows. The weekly chart shows how for a second time JOY has lost … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 18, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Amazon.com (AMZN) reported earnings April 26th and soared in the after-hours about 22%. At the time, I decided to call an “audible” on the AMZN post-earnings play and avoid the trade … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The past three earnings cycles have delivered some tremendous post-earnings successes in stocks like Amazon.com (AMZN), priceline.com (PCLN), Best Buy (BBY), and Apple (AAPL). J.C. Penney (JCP) broke my streak in … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 9, 2012 PRE-EARNINGS. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} In 2010, PCLN finally overtook Expedia (EXPE) in revenues. Click image for a larger view… Source: MSN Money {snip} With earnings coming up for PCLN, and given recent successes … Read more
On Friday, May 4, Apple (AAPL) dropped 2.9% in price and came within 5 points (0.9%) of closing its entire post-earnings gap up from April 25. During Monday’s trading, Apple’s low (at the open) brought the stock within one point of closing the gap. Click image for a larger view… Source: FreeStockCharts.com The post-earnings gap … Read more
When Shutterfly (SFLY) reported earnings on April 30th, the company provided guidance for a larger Q2 loss than analyst expectations. Despite this disappointment, the stock opened the next day with an amazing 9% gain. Unfortunately, trading has been all downhill from there. SFLY closed the day losing all its gains, and it was even trading … Read more
Two weeks ago, Yelp.com (YELP) confirmed its blow-off top with a break of critical support (see “Chart Review: Yelp.com Confirms Blow-Off Top With A Break Of Support“). That support immediately turned into resistance. After dropping close to post-IPO lows, YELP bounced, only to stop cold at resistance. After reporting earnings, YELP dropped 12% directly from … Read more