Overbought Conditions End with Fresh Market Risk – The Market Breadth

overbought conditions end with fresh market risks

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s fearless streak met fresh geopolitical headwinds that significantly raised the risk quotient. Tensions surged as Israel bombarded Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and Iran retaliated, spiking oil prices and triggering a market sell-off that, while sharp, could have and should have been a lot worse. This fresh market risk is a … Read more

Market Calm Shattered – Tariff Shock Hits S&P’s Critical Support – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) confirmed overbought resistance and closed the gap higher from the China trade war ceasefire. This rejection is bearish by itself but support for the indices remains intact.

Stock Market Commentary A market calm emerged thanks to a pause on reciprocal tariffs and then a ceasefire in the US vs China trade war. This market calm shattered as a new tariff shock came in the form of President Trump threatening the European Union (EU) with a 50% tariff while at the same time … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish – The Market Breadth

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish

Stock Market Commentary We made it through another week without any major negative headlines impacting the stock market. Although late-breaking news took futures down due to Moody’s dropping the U.S. from its top credit rating, marking the loss of the last top-tier assessment of U.S. government debt, I expect the market impact to be minimal. … Read more

A Cliffhanger Under (200DMA) Resistance – The Market Breadth

A Cliffhanger Under (200DMA) Resistance - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The market ended the week on a quiet cliffhanger as major indices hovered under critical resistance levels. A defining theme was the muted reaction to major headlines, particularly around trade and stagflation risks. Despite the looming shadow of stagflation – a term not explicitly mentioned but clearly implied in last week’s Fed … Read more

A Hiccup in the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP – The Market Breadth

A Hiccup In the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market experienced a hiccup in an otherwise strong post-oversold bounce. The Q1 GDP report revealed a small contraction that surprisingly caught the market off guard. However, this contraction was driven primarily by a surge in imports as businesses rushed to get ahead of anticipated tariffs. I assume a lot of … Read more