If Gold Is Going Higher On Fear, It Is Fear of Greenspan

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} …if fear is running rampant in the gold trade, it is not fear of a recession, depression, etc… Instead, it is the fear of former chairman Alan Greenspan – better yet, it is the … Read more

T2108 Update – August 8, 2011 (Stay In the Game)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 6.5% (Day #3 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 48. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

“Commodities Crash” Triggers First Trades – ANR and EWZ

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In July, I used ideas from Jeremy Grantham to lay out a case for taking advantage of a coming “commodities crash” to invest in and prepare for a future resource-constrained world: “Preparing for Profits in … Read more

Seagate Is Not Likely to Find “Ruthenium-Like” Relief from Soaring Rare Earth Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week (July 22) I summarized Seagate’s earnings commentary partially blaming a “bubble” in rare earth prices for causing a margin squeeze for the company. Seagate management claimed that the soaring prices of rare earth … Read more

AK Steel Suffers Largest One-Day Loss In Three Years on Poor Earnings

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The shorts finally nailed AK Steel (AKS) (shorts are about 17% of AKS’s float). On July 26, AKS reported it will be squeezed by lower steel prices and higher input costs – especially iron ore. … Read more

Alix Steel: Gold’s Next Move Is Locked Independent of U.S. Debt Deal

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Alix Steel, a reporter for thestreet.com, discussed gold on Nightly Business Report, July 26. She claimed that gold’s low volume, summer rally is being fueled by fears of a default on U.S. debt. Nevermind that … Read more

Chart Review: Bottoming Pattern for the Cotton ETN – BAL

Commodities continue to exhibit a dichotomy of patterns. Some have made new 52-week (and all-time) highs as they continue to recover from June’s selling. Others, like BAL, the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Total Return Sub-Index ETN, have continued a strong sell-off. On July 18, the stock gapped down, but buyers immediately closed the gap and … Read more

Enthusiasm for Gold Continues to Wane

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have not updated my “sentiment” analysis on gold in nine months…{snip}…I think this is a great time to take a fresh look. {snip}…I use Google Trends on the terms “buy gold” and “sell gold” … Read more

Seagate Blames A “Bubble” In Rare Earth Prices for Causing A Margin Squeeze

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) For some time now, rare earth supply, demand, and prices have been hot topics of discussion and debate. While these elements are critical components in many high-tech products, they usually represent a very small part … Read more