T2108 Update (June 8, 2016) – A Notable Post-Recession Breakout

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Commodity Crash Takes A Pause: An Attractive Trade on Coffee

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The crash in commodities continues nearly unabated against a wide swath of commodities. The selling has become so extreme that I have started moving from following the trends downward to watching … Read more

The World Agricultural Outlook Grinds the Teucrium Corn ETF to An All-Time Low

On Wednesday, August 12, 2015, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its latest “World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.” The news was treated as very bearish for corn. Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN) plunged immediately on the news. Source: FreeStockCharts.com The corn season’s first “survey-based corn yield forecast” came in higher than the trend-based forecast … Read more

Teucrium Corn ETF Grows Largest One-Day Gain in Six Weeks

Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN) soared on the day by 4.0% as commodities rallied across the board. The rally took CORN into its 50-day moving average (DMA) and an opportunity to take a profit on my trial run on short-term trades around my core CORN position. (I announced the buy here). Source: FreeStockCharts.com This first buy … Read more

Even Cocoa Starts to Waver In the Face of the Collapse In Commodities

A month ago, I wrote about the resilience of cocoa prices in the face of an avalanche of weaker agricultural prices. Given my opportunistic strategy for trading cocoa through the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB), I laid out a price target for locking in profits on the latest trade. I have since sold my … Read more