Above the 40 (March 17, 2017) – Financials Continue Drag As Hints Of A BULLISH Divergence Emerge

AT40 = 50.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary After the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates, the market’s expectations on future rate hikes relaxed a bit. That relaxation … Read more

Above the 40 (March 15, 2017) – Stock Market Rate Hike Celebration Forgot the Financials

AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 62.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.6 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The U.S. Federal Reserve hiked its interest rate as expected by 0.25%. The accompanying statement was remarkable only for being … Read more

Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains

The big story coming out of the November presidential elections was the flurry of “Trump Trades” that soared on an incremental surge of optimism and expectations. Now the growing story includes the sprouting list of trades that have completely reversed post-election gains. The recent rapid decline in oil prices on the heels of surging U.S. … Read more

Trading Cocoa: The Buying Opportunity Strengthens

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip}…a volume surge and a gap up in NIB makes it a LOT more likely a bottom is finally forming in NIB (and by association cocoa prices). NIB closed the day … Read more