Monetary Policy On Cruise Control in Australia

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia seems to have abandoned efforts to push the Australian dollar (FXA) around. The latest monetary decision contained no surprises and looked like a near carbon copy … Read more

Residential Employment Plows Ahead As Housing Indicators Stabilize

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest U.S. non-farm employment report showed another strong print for employment in residential construction. For the 31st month in a row, seasonally adjusted employment in residential construction showed year-over-year growth. … Read more

T2108 Update (April 30, 2014) – A Stock Market Inching Forward Against Gravity

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (April 15, 2014) – A Perfect Bounce – Maybe Too Perfect

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Internet Stock Valuation Update: Shaved Around the Edges

Here is a very quick tax-day valuation update on select Internet-related stocks. The ordering of stocks by price-to-sales (P/S) ratios did not change much but several stocks have retreated off their most stretched valuations. However, nothing that WAS “expensive” has suddenly become “cheap” now… Click image for details… Source: P/S data from Yahoo Finance {I … Read more

T2108 Update (April 14, 2014) – A Timid Bounce From Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

An Unexpected Drop In Leasing Velocity Helps Reset RealPage

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) RealPage (RP) provides software for revenue management and other related services for managers of rental housing. After noticing that the stock had dropped over 20% in after hours trading following the … Read more

T2108 Update (April 11, 2014) – Continuation Selling Quickly Brings Back Quasi-Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Opportunistically Invest In Cocoa

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 24, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, February 14, 2014, Nightly Business Report produced a timely segment on chocolate and the strong growth in worldwide demand that challenges global supplies. My ears really perked up when … Read more

Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails to Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 6, 2014, the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) had snatched up $14B worth of its own stock following January’s post-earnings sell-off: $12B in an accelerated buyback and … Read more