ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 61%. VIX Status: 19. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped from the margins of overbought territory to 61%. It was a slightly larger drop than I would … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 51%. VIX Status: 21. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped to 51% from 61%. My favorite technical indicator spent the previous three days bouncing in a tight … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 47% and neutral. VIX Status: 17 (closed below last oversold period). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 soared again, closing today at 47% and a high for June. … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 20% and oversold General (Short-term) Trading Call: Cover more shorts, add more longs Commentary T2108 plummeted to oversold territory. The indicator closed right at 20%. Since the March, 2009 … Read more
Dangerous Views of Volatility: Pay attention to the VIX, but don't just follow the crowd – Barrons.com The market remains schizophrenic. One day, stock prices tumble because Standard & Poor's questions the credit rating of the United States, and investors panic and sell and fret, and the front pages of many newspapers are apocalyptic. The … Read more
The stock market printed a timely and picture-perfect bounce on Friday. Ahead of the rally, I presented the relatively strong case for the bulls based on the previous 3-day pullback. By closing above Wednesday’s high of 1318, the S&P 500 is also poised to continue its gains. However, looking beyond this bounce from support, the … Read more
With tongue reaching for the cheek last week, I declared the market both extremely undervalued and very overvalued, guessing that “as earnings season grinds on, I suspect the near-predictable pattern of post-earnings fades will finally wear thin, giving way to more bullish behavior.” I did not expect the turn to happen so clearly and dramatically … Read more
Trade the Oversold Bounce – Stocks, Futures and Options Traders (Dr.Duru) Profits from oversold periods start either from entering the market long on the first oversold day (aggressive) and/or from waiting for VIX to increase at least 20 percent from the first oversold day or entering the market the first day after the oversold period … Read more
If the summer ends up trading in a range, it will have a wider berth than I had expected. This week the S&P 500 broke both closing and intra-day lows for 2010 and confirmed an unfolding downtrend. The index is down 8 of the last 9 days. The good news is that the S&P 500 … Read more
As I feared might happen, the stock market has already fallen back into oversold territory as measured by the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs). This indicator, T2108, dipped under 20% and closed at 18.5%. This is the third oversold period in just a month, and this third time is not … Read more