Above the 40 (May 17, 2017) – One Day Suffices: S&P 500 Breakdown Lands the French Fly With A Thud

AT40 = 36.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.6 (volatility index) – a 46.4% increase!!! Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Commentary Time to downgrade my cautious bullishness to neutral. The S&P 500 (SPY) … Read more

Above the 40 (May 11, 2017) – S&P 500 Snaps Back As SNAP, Well, Snapped

AT40 = 49.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.6 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The week started with the volatility index, the VIX, plunging to a 14-year low. I held onto my put options … Read more

Above the 40 (April 25, 2017) – The S&P 500 Follows Through And Scratches Overbought Levels

AT40 = 67.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 65.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.8 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The French Fly continued apace as financial markets continued to celebrate. In my previous post, I failed to post a … Read more

Above the 40 (April 13, 2017) – The S&P 500 Suffers A Convincing End to Bullish Divergence

AT40 = 38.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (notable caveats explained below) Commentary The 50-day moving average (DMA) is no longer golden. It figures that on a day … Read more

Above the 40 (March 24, 2017) – Small Caps Fight for the Bulls, Euro Presses Higher

AT40 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: bearish Commentary In my last “Above the 40“, I noted how the stock market took a pause in deference to the growing … Read more