The Bear Market Reasserts Itself – The Market Breadth

bear market intrusion

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 delivered only a brief respite from the bear market when it broke out above its 200-day moving average (DMA) to start the week. Two days later, the bear market reasserted itself. Another two days later, the sellers punched an exclamation mark on the bear market as a “hot” inflation … Read more

Tariff Flexibility Countdown Underway – The Market Breadth

tariff flexibility (Credit: J. Mark Bertrand, https://www.flickr.com/photos/24906199@N00/2947844344)

Stock Market Commentary The market delivered a contradictory signal to end the week. For example, while swingtradebot flashed very bullish technical indicators, market breadth declined the last two days of the week. This divergence is symbolic of the swirling tensions in the air. After, the three-week sell-off into a bear market took advantage of rising … Read more

Turnaround December Defies Sagging Market Breadth – The Market Breadth

Turnaround December Defies Sagging Market Breadth - The Market Breadth (Credit: Bill Selak, https://www.flickr.com/photos/98274023@N00/2643943441)

Stock Market Commentary It probably seems odd using “turnaround” as a descriptor for December’s trading. After all, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ continued their respective melt-up trading action. Yet, small caps diverged and trickled downward all week. So I am intrigued by a collection of stocks that are making and often completing turnarounds from … Read more

Fades Press On Market Supports Ahead of the Election – The Market Breadth

fade (Credit: Hercules Wrestling the Bull by carfull...from Wyoming on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary Fades were on display, especially on Thursday, as the stock market showed signs of exhaustion. Bad news in and for the semiconductor industry seemed to motivate sellers. For example, earnings for Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) seemed to release some steam on hyped expectations for the AI chips both companies will … Read more

Retail Stocks Underline Market’s V-Shaped Recovery from Calamity – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) has made a near full recovery back to all-time highs, bouncing back from the early August calamity.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s V-shaped recovery finished reversing most of the losses from the August calamity. Small caps are once again the laggards. During this recovery the market swung from recessions fears to recession relief. The prospects for interest rate cuts no longer seemed to matter on either side of the V-shape. The … Read more

Market Rotations Are Wearing Down Overbought Resistance – The Market Breadth

Market Rotations Are Wearing Down Overbought Resistance – The Market Breadth (Credit: Eduardo Tavares, https://www.flickr.com/photos/28761527@N06/3499009813)

Stock Market Commentary Bears still look ready to bow out, but they still have their paws firmly planted on high-tech stocks, especially semiconductors. The market rotations out of tech are nudging enough stocks higher, especially small caps, to rechallenge the threshold defining overbought conditions for market breadth. The stark divergence in stocks greatly reduces the … Read more

Market Breadth Waned Despite Stock Market All-Time Highs – The Market Breadth

Market Breadth Waned Despite Stock Market All-Time Highs (Credit: waning crescent moon by circulating: https://www.flickr.com/photos/26835318@N00/2536319961)

Stock Market Commentary The week’s trading was punctuated by a single day with an all-time high on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ in the wake of strong readings on the May S&P Global US Services PMI and the May ISM Non-Manufacturing Index. Unfortunately, that price milestone failed to change the contour of market breath … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Snapshots of the Fresh Bearishness

Stock Market Commentary: After much resistance to Fed hawkishness, the U.S. stock market gave way to fresh bearishness. The major indices dropped into new depths of the bear den. The stocks below are snapshots of the latest deterioration in the price action and decline in the technical health underlying the stock market. The ARK funds … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – A Telling Mosaic from All-Time Lows to Breakouts

Stock Market Commentary The stock market is scraping by just above oversold territory. The churn of last week has created a mosaic different trading conditions. The bears are salivating at the all-time lows. The hopefuls like me are finding slivers of opportunity in the breakouts. The stock charts in this review cover some of everything. … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Snapshots of A Disappointing Start to the New Year

Stock Market Commentary The stock market indices benefited from a strong 2021. year. However, under the surface, declining market breadth betrayed the bullish narrative for a wide swath of stocks. A disappointing start to the new year for the indices was even worse for those stocks already limping into the end of last year. The … Read more